According to the Legislative Budget Board (LBB) and the Comptroller's Office, the bill is expected to result in a reduction in state service fee revenue collected for administering local sales and use taxes. This is due to changes in where sales are sourced—shifting from locations where retailers receive orders to where purchasers receive or take possession of taxable items.
While the bill includes provisions to exempt small businesses (under 100 employees and $2 million in gross receipts) and offers a temporary sourcing option for businesses with economic development agreements (until 2030), the overall effect would likely reduce sales tax revenue in jurisdictions that currently benefit from centralized sourcing strategies. Notably, sales delivered into unincorporated areas or low-tax jurisdictions could lead to decreased tax collections because these areas often have lower or no local tax rates compared to urban centers.
The impact will not be evenly distributed. Some local jurisdictions may gain revenue as transactions are redirected to them, but others—particularly those that currently benefit from large retailers locating “sales offices” within their boundaries—may lose significant revenue. After 2030, when the protections for economic development agreements expire, municipalities relying on these arrangements are expected to experience sharp fiscal declines.
Importantly, due to limitations in available data—particularly the lack of reported shipping/delivery address information for each taxable transaction—the Comptroller is unable to provide a precise estimate of the net fiscal impact. Therefore, while a general decline in local tax collections and related state administrative fees is expected, the magnitude of this decline remains unknown.
HB 134 aims to streamline and modernize Texas’s local sales and use tax structure by adopting destination-based sourcing as the default method for determining where sales taxes are owed. This approach aligns with the broader consensus in public finance that taxes should be levied where goods and services are consumed. The bill introduces clarity by defining when and where orders are “received” and by specifying that digital infrastructure, such as websites or servers, cannot be used to determine a retailer’s tax nexus.
The bill also creates a favorable framework for small businesses by allowing those with fewer than 100 employees and less than $2 million in annual revenue to source sales to their principal business location. This provides administrative simplicity and predictability for local entrepreneurs. Additionally, transitional provisions for businesses with active economic development agreements help to ease the shift to the new model, preserving local fiscal commitments through the end of 2030.
While the Legislative Budget Board notes potential revenue shifts among jurisdictions—and some overall decline in local tax revenue—the bill mitigates these impacts by excluding small businesses and temporarily preserving sourcing rules for development-incentivized retailers. Although exact fiscal outcomes are hard to project due to limited data, the bill’s policy rationale, clarity, and incremental implementation justify why Texas Policy Research recommends that lawmakers vote YES on HB 134.