According to the Legislative Budget Board (LBB), the fiscal implications of HB 18 are significant, with an estimated negative net impact of approximately $48.75 million to General Revenue through the 2026–27 biennium. The primary cost drivers are the establishment and implementation of multiple new initiatives: the Texas Rural Hospital Officers Academy, an add-on Medicaid reimbursement payment for rural hospitals offering obstetrics and gynecology services, and the Rural Pediatric Mental Health Care Access Program.
The Health and Human Services Commission (HHSC) is projected to need around $22.2 million from General Revenue and $45.6 million from all funds in fiscal year 2026, with similar levels continuing into 2027. These funds would cover staffing (10.5 full-time equivalents), infrastructure, and program launch costs. Approximately $15.6 million annually is allocated to support the new Medicaid payment add-on for qualifying rural hospitals, assuming a 2% increase across inpatient and outpatient services.
Notably, while the bill authorizes the creation of several rural hospital grant programs, the fiscal note excludes their full implementation costs due to insufficient data on grant demand and design. However, the note estimates $2.5 million annually will be needed by the Texas Child Mental Health Care Consortium to expand data systems and provider capacity in support of the new pediatric behavioral health access program.
On the revenue side, modest gains are expected from insurance premium tax revenue tied to increased Medicaid managed care payments, estimated at about $340,000 in 2026 and $861,000 in 2027. A portion of this revenue is projected to benefit the Foundation School Fund. Despite these offsets, the overall fiscal outlook is notably negative, though these investments aim to improve long-term health access and sustainability in rural areas.
HB 18, even in its revised Senate Committee Substitute form, remains fundamentally incompatible with principles of limited government and responsible fiscal stewardship. While the bill admirably attempts to address a genuine crisis in rural healthcare infrastructure, its approach is one of substantial government expansion, creating new permanent programs, administrative bodies, and taxpayer-funded subsidies without clear evidence of long-term efficacy, cost containment, or private-sector alignment.
The establishment of the State Office of Rural Hospital Finance within the Health and Human Services Commission represents a durable expansion of the state's administrative responsibilities. This new office, along with the Texas Rural Hospital Officers Academy, will be staffed and funded on a recurring basis, with no sunset provisions for core operations. While professional development for rural hospital administrators is an understandable goal, the responsibility for such training could be more appropriately borne by the institutions themselves, or through partnerships that leverage local and private resources, rather than being centralized under state authority.
Financially, the bill’s impact is substantial. It is expected to cost over $48 million from General Revenue in the first two years alone, with additional annual expenses for Medicaid rate adjustments and mental health services expansion. Notably, the Legislative Budget Board was unable to fully assess the cost of the four newly created grant programs due to insufficient data, meaning the actual long-term cost to the state is likely far higher. These include the Financial Stabilization, Emergency Hardship, Innovation, and Rural Hospital Support Grant programs, all of which place the burden of rural health system maintenance squarely on the state without demanding proportional contributions or reform from local entities.
Moreover, the Medicaid add-on for rural hospitals with obstetrics and gynecology departments introduces new recurring costs that must be absorbed by the state budget indefinitely. While it seeks to preserve critical maternal care access, it does so through ongoing taxpayer support rather than structural reform. This policy could disincentivize efficiency or consolidation where appropriate and may inadvertently entrench inefficient service models.
The bill also departs from market-oriented solutions. Rather than creating incentives for private investment or deregulating barriers to rural care, it increases dependency on government funds and prescriptive oversight. Although some administrative guardrails were added to ensure grant dollars benefit local hospitals rather than centralized systems, this does not address the broader concern that public dollars are being used to prop up systems with uncertain long-term sustainability and no clearly defined metrics for success.
From a liberty standpoint, while the bill ensures continuity of care in underserved communities, it does so at the cost of expanding state authority and taxpayer obligations. It effectively transfers the risk of rural hospital failure from local actors to the state, undermining both local responsibility and potential private innovation. The lack of clear exit strategies, cost-recovery mechanisms, or privatization pathways means this framework could become a permanent fixture of the state health bureaucracy.
In summary, while HB 18 seeks to solve a real problem, its execution relies too heavily on government intervention, creates ongoing financial liabilities, and lacks a path toward self-sufficiency. For those committed to a vision of restrained governance, personal responsibility, and sustainable public policy, the bill in its current form remains untenable. Texas Policy Research continues to recommend that lawmakers vote NO on HB 18, reflecting a commitment to these principles and an insistence on alternatives that support rural health without growing the size and cost of state government.