According to the Legislative Budget Board (LBB), HB 2298 is projected to have a total negative fiscal impact of approximately $2.75 million over the 2026–2027 biennium on the state’s General Revenue Fund. The bill does not appropriate funds directly, but it provides the statutory authority for the Health and Human Services Commission (HHSC) to administer a new grant program supporting the use of artificial intelligence (AI) for cancer detection in medical imaging. The anticipated funding needs would likely be addressed through future appropriations processes.
The bill allows HHSC to issue up to five annual grants, each not exceeding $250,000, beginning in fiscal year 2026. As such, the state is expected to allocate $1.25 million per year for grant awards alone. Additionally, the implementation of the program would require one full-time equivalent (FTE) position at HHSC, with administrative and personnel costs of approximately $130,000 per year. These include salaries, benefits, and one-time startup costs like equipment and systems support.
The estimated ongoing annual cost of administering the grant program is roughly $1.37 million per fiscal year, which includes both the grant funds and program administration. The fiscal note indicates no significant cost impact on local governments. Overall, while the scale of expenditure is relatively modest, the bill introduces a new recurring cost for the state with no built-in funding source beyond future appropriations decisions.
HB 2298 proposes the creation of a new grant program under the Health and Human Services Commission (HHSC) to support the use of artificial intelligence (AI) in medical imaging for cancer detection. While the stated public health goal—to improve early cancer detection and reduce mortality, is laudable, the structure, funding mechanism, and long-term implications of this bill present multiple areas of concern from a limited-government, fiscally conservative perspective. For these reasons, Texas Policy Research recommends that lawmakers vote NO on HB 2298.
HB 2298 directly expands the size and responsibilities of state government by requiring HHSC to establish and administer a new grant program, including adopting rules, overseeing the application process, awarding and managing funds, and evaluating results. This constitutes an expansion of government into the technological and diagnostic domains of healthcare, areas that are traditionally and effectively driven by the private sector. It adds a new administrative mandate and creates a new function within HHSC that does not currently exist.
The bill also grants rulemaking authority to the executive commissioner, effectively opening the door to future regulatory structures around the use of AI in medicine. While this is framed as oversight of grant compliance, it creates a precedent for state-sanctioned guidelines for how private providers implement AI technologies. This could grow into a more intrusive regulatory apparatus over time, contrary to conservative principles of minimal state interference in private clinical or business operations.
The fiscal note for HB 2298 estimates a $2.75 million cost to the General Revenue Fund over the first biennium and recurring costs of $1.37 million annually thereafter. The program authorizes up to five $250,000 grants per year, along with full-time staff and administrative support. While these numbers may seem modest in comparison to the overall state budget, they represent an unnecessary and unjustified taxpayer subsidy for a program that should be market-driven. The bill does not provide a compelling justification for why state funds should underwrite the early adoption of technologies that already have strong commercial interest and investor backing.
Furthermore, there are no embedded performance-based funding contingencies. While recipients must submit a report after one year, there is no requirement for measurable clinical outcomes or cost savings to justify continued funding. This lack of accountability, combined with the fact that the grant program sunsets in 2035, a full decade after its launch, places the financial burden of experimentation on taxpayers without adequate safeguards for return on investment.
The program’s structure creates an uneven playing field by limiting participation to five recipients per year, potentially favoring well-resourced, urban, or politically connected hospitals or health systems. Even with the 10% matching fund requirement, the cost-sharing threshold is low enough that large providers can easily absorb it, while smaller or rural facilities may be effectively shut out of participation. This kind of selective subsidy risks distorting the competitive healthcare marketplace by directing public funds toward favored institutions or early adopters, rather than letting the value of AI tools be determined by market demand and provider choice.
There is also no requirement in the bill for vendor neutrality or competitive bidding processes for the AI technology itself. Without these provisions, the state may unintentionally favor specific companies or products, resulting in a government-endorsed vendor model, a classic example of crony capitalism, where private entities benefit from public-sector privilege rather than market success.
Although HB 2298 does not impose new mandates, it creates a framework that could easily evolve into a regulatory regime. By granting rulemaking authority and requiring compliance with AI oversight guidelines, the bill sets a precedent for future legislation to regulate or standardize how AI is used in clinical settings. Once established, such programs often lead to mission creep, expanding beyond their original intent and increasing government influence over medical decision-making and innovation. Lawmakers should remain vigilant about such entry points into healthcare regulation.
AI-based diagnostic tools are already being developed and adopted in private health systems across the country, funded by venture capital, hospital system investment, and philanthropic grants. If the technology is effective, providers have ample financial and clinical incentive to adopt it without government subsidy. The role of the state is not to underwrite pilot programs for commercial technologies, especially when those technologies are still evolving and carry unresolved questions about efficacy, accuracy, bias, and data privacy. The best approach would allow the free market to determine whether AI-based diagnostics succeed, without government distortion or taxpayer support.
In sum, while the bill is motivated by good intentions, improving cancer screening and outcomes, it is built on a flawed model that increases the size of government, imposes unnecessary costs on taxpayers, risks favoritism and market distortion, and sets a dangerous precedent for regulatory creep into medical technology. These concerns directly contradict core conservative principles of limited government, fiscal restraint, and free market integrity.