SCOTUS Lets Texas Run 2026 Elections Under New Map

Estimated Time to Read: 7 minutes

The U.S. Supreme Court has stepped into Texas’s redistricting battle and decided that the state can continue using its newly drawn congressional map for the 2026 elections. This ruling reverses a lower court that blocked the map last month after finding that Texas relied too heavily on race when creating new Republican-leaning districts. By allowing the map to stay in place while the case moves forward, the Court has brought clarity to a confusing moment in the election cycle and offered important insight into how the justices view the relationship between race, politics, and election law.

At its core, the dispute centers on a simple but high-stakes question: Did Texas redraw its districts mainly for political advantage, which is allowed, or did it use race as the primary tool to achieve that advantage, which is not allowed? The lower court said the answer was race. The Supreme Court disagreed, at least for now, and emphasized that Texas showed a strong chance of winning its appeal.

The ruling exposes a deep divide on the Court. The majority focused on the political motivation behind the map, the timing of the lower court’s intervention, and the lack of certain evidence from the challengers. The dissent argued that the trial court uncovered extensive proof that race was central to the redraw and that the Supreme Court should not have brushed aside those findings so quickly. How the Court settles these disputes will shape not only Texas politics but the future of redistricting fights across the country.

Supreme Court Lets Texas Move Forward With Its 2026 Map

The Supreme Court’s ruling means that Texas can use the new congressional map that lawmakers drew earlier this year, which almost assuredly adds five Republican-leaning seats. A lower court had blocked the map in November, saying Texas used race too heavily when redrawing districts, but the Supreme Court disagreed and temporarily reversed that decision while the case continues.

This order matters because candidate filing for the 2026 primaries is already ongoing. Without the stay, Texas’s election administration would have been forced to switch back to an older map midstream, likely causing confusion among voters, candidates, and county officials.

The ruling also highlights a growing divide in how the justices understand the balance between partisan strategy and racial considerations in redistricting.

Why the Supreme Court Said the Map Can Be Used

The court’s majority identified several reasons why Texas is likely to win its appeal. These reasons focus on legislative intent, the type of evidence required in redistricting cases, and the timing of the lower court’s intervention. A lower court had blocked the map in November, and the Supreme Court initially issued a temporary administrative stay.

The Court Saw the Redraw as Primarily Political

The justices in the majority agreed that Texas redrew its districts to give Republicans more seats. Under current Supreme Court precedent, political motivations are allowed even when they give one party a strong advantage. Because of this, the challengers had to show that race, not politics, was the main reason the lines were drawn the way they were. The Court concluded that the challengers did not adequately prove this.

Challengers Did Not Provide a Required Alternative Map

The Court relied heavily on a recent precedent that requires challengers to offer their own version of a map. That map must show how the state could have achieved the same political goals without creating the racial patterns the challengers say are unconstitutional.

The plaintiffs did not submit such a map. The majority said that this omission strongly suggested that politics, not race, drove the design of the districts.

The Lower Court Did Not Give Texas the Benefit of the Doubt

The Supreme Court said that courts must begin with the assumption that lawmakers acted properly. Ambiguous evidence should not be treated as proof of wrongdoing. The district court did the opposite and treated uncertain evidence as support for the challengers’ theory. The Supreme Court said this approach was incorrect.

The Lower Court Changed the Election Rules Too Later

The Court also stressed that the lower court waited too long to block the map. Candidate filing had already begun, and counties were preparing ballots. Changing maps at this point would create confusion across the state. The Supreme Court said courts should avoid making such changes once an election cycle is underway.

This reasoning is based on a long-standing principle that discourages late-stage court intervention in election rules.

Why Three Justices Strongly Disagreed

Justice Elena Kagan, joined by Justices Sonia Sotomayor and Ketanji Brown Jackson, issued a lengthy dissent that tells a very different story. Their disagreement focused on evidence, timing, and the role of the Supreme Court itself.

The Trial Court Did the Heavy Lifting

The dissent argued that the Supreme Court should have accepted the lower court’s findings. The district court held a nine-day hearing with more than twenty witnesses, reviewed thousands of documents, and issued a detailed opinion explaining its reasoning. Justice Kagan said the Supreme Court should not disregard those findings after only a brief review of the written record.

The Dissent Viewed Race as a Central Factor

Justice Kagan pointed to several elements that she said proved race played the dominant role:

  • A letter from the Department of Justice warned Texas that certain districts had legally questionable racial configurations.
  • After receiving the letter, the Governor added redistricting to the special session agenda even though it had not been included before.
  • Statements from state officials repeatedly referenced turning coalition districts into majority Black or majority Hispanic districts.
  • Some districts were drawn to be just slightly above 50 percent of a racial group, which the dissent said was unlikely to happen accidentally.
  • An expert testified that thousands of maps drawn using political data alone never produced racial patterns similar to those in the adopted map.

Based on this, the dissent believed the lower court was correct: race was a primary tool used to achieve political ends.

The Dissent Said Purcell Does Not Apply

The dissent rejected the idea that the lower court blocked the map too close to the election. Election Day is almost a year away. Primaries can be adjusted if needed, and the 2021 map has been used before, so it would not cause confusion. Justice Kagan warned that allowing legislatures to redraw maps late in the process without judicial review creates an incentive to act strategically.

How the Decision Affects Texas and National Redistricting

For Texas, the immediate effect is that the 2026 elections will proceed under the new map. Candidates and voters will not face the disruption of switching back to the old map in the middle of the filing period.

For the country, this ruling carries broader implications. The Supreme Court is signaling that challengers must produce strong, specific evidence if they want to prove that race played too large a role in drawing districts. The Court is also making clear that changing election rules or maps late in the process will face heightened scrutiny.

With several states considering new maps, this decision may influence how aggressively legislatures redraw lines and how challengers craft their legal strategies.

Conclusion

The Supreme Court’s decision to allow Texas’s new congressional map to stay in place for 2026 shows how the justices currently view the relationship between politics, race, and election timing. The majority concluded that Texas acted for political reasons and that the challengers did not provide the evidence needed to prove otherwise. The dissent argued that the trial court found strong proof that race was central to the map and warned that the Supreme Court is making it harder to prevent unconstitutional racial gerrymandering.

While the case continues, the immediate outcome is clear. Texas will use the new congressional map in 2026. The principles the Court applied will likely shape redistricting battles well beyond Texas, influencing both how maps are drawn and how courts evaluate challenges to them.

Texas Policy Research relies on the support of generous donors across Texas.
If you found this information helpful, please consider supporting our efforts! Thank you!